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The Probability of Winning the UEFA Europa League: Athletic Bilbao Has the Highest Probability at 25.1%, and Manchester United Ranks Second at 17.9%

The Probability of Winning the UEFA Europa League: Athletic Bilbao Has the Highest Probability at 25.1%, and Manchester United Ranks Second at 17.9%

  • Republic 2025/04/17 09:30
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The second legs of the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals are about to kick off. The Opta supercomputer has predicted the championship probabilities of each team. Athletic Bilbao tops the list with a 25.1% chance, and Manchester United ranks second with a 17.9% chance.


The Probability of Winning the UEFA Europa League Predicted by Opta:


Athletic Bilbao —— Semi-final: 76.8% —— Final: 43% —— Championship: 25.1%

Manchester United —— Semi-final: 61.9% —— Final: 32.8% —— Championship: 17.9%

Eintracht Frankfurt —— Semi-final: 54.6% —— Final: 30% —— Championship: 13.9%

Tottenham Hotspur —— Semi-final: 45.4% —— Final: 27.4% —— Championship: 13.6%

Bodø/Glimt —— Semi-final: 77.2% —— Final: 30.5% —— Championship: 11.6%

Olympique Lyonnais —— Semi-final: 38.1% —— Final: 18.4% —— Championship: 9.9%

SS Lazio —— Semi-final: 22.8% —— Final: 12.2% —— Championship: 5.9%

Rangers FC —— Semi-final: 23.2% —— Final: 5.8% —— Championship: 2.2%


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