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How good is Jimmy Butler? Breaking down Heat star's trade value and projecting his next contract

  • runaway 2025/01/07 09:09
  • 0


Nobody doubts that Jimmy Butler is still a good NBA player. But how good is he, and what is he worth in the trade market?


Every team will make that determination until he is either moved or the trade deadline passes, and the answers will vary widely. Butler has made six All-Star teams, five All-NBA teams and five All-Defensive teams. He's led the Heat to two NBA Finals appearances. But at age 35, he's clearly on the decline.


How good is Jimmy Butler in 2025?


Going off his numbers, Butler is still around a top 25 player in the league. His scoring in 2024-25 is down to 17.6 points per game, but his efficiency has climbed up, his 3-point shooting has returned to 38.6 percent over the past three seasons and he's still terrific at getting to the foul line.


While he's not the All-Defensive player he was in his prime, Butler is still above average both on and off the ball. His anticipation to get pick-six steals isn't going away any time soon — he's been one of the best at those plays throughout his career.


That all-around skill, plus his well-deserved reputation of turning it up in the playoffs, has him in that top 25 range on most media outlets' player rankings.


Butler's game probably won't fall off a cliff either. He doesn't rely on tremendous athleticism anymore. Instead, he has great strength which he uses to muscle his way to his preferred spots on the floor, and his foul baiting is going to stick around forever. He's also an underrated passer, which allows him to facilitate a ton of offense.


DARKO, one of the best NBA projection models, has Butler lasting another four seasons in the league before retiring. He is starting to decline, but he's still near his peak and a top-25 player in most of those all-in-one metrics.


What is Jimmy Butler's trade market?


Given Butler is still a very good player, one might expect that the Heat could get a significant haul for him. Unfortunately for Miami, this is not looking like the case.


The league's new collective bargaining agreement has made it exceedingly difficult to trade for players making a high salary such as the $48.8 million owed to Butler this season. He's also made it known he plans to opt out of his $52.4 million player option for next year, so any team that trades for him will either rent him for a season or commit to giving him a big new deal this summer.


Due to that contract situation, Butler doesn't have an A-plus fit on any particular team. If there were one, a trade probably would have been completed already. He does have a handful of potential destinations though, such as the Warriors, Suns, Rockets, Mavericks and Grizzlies.


The Heat may seek more win-now veterans rather than draft compensation, per CBS Sports' Bill Reiter. That would make sense given Pat Riley is 79 years old and has never expressed a desire to rebuild from scratch since becoming the team's lead decision-maker.


Fulfilling Riley's desire shrinks the market for Butler even further. The Heat might get a good veteran like Bradley Beal or Marcus Smart back in a trade, but they're probably not getting a haul of picks.

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